I'm impressed. EDIT- Took literally less than a minute to hit reddit hell. ... China has closely studied that war, looking for lessons to apply in a future conflict over Taiwan. Please keep in mind that the OP of this thread has chosen to mark this post with the [Serious] replies only tag, therefore any replies that are jokes, puns, off-topic, or are otherwise non-contributory will be removed. China is not the world's economic engine, anymore than Saudi Arabia with all its riches. We had the same continental territory in the lower 48 states as today, but we had a third of the people in 1940 that we have today. Press J to jump to the feed. Kind of a toss up. Chinese industry is almost entirely fueled by external demand. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. You forget America has not gone up against a proper military force since the Korean War. War with NATO (you can't just be at war with US: It's the US + Canada + Europe) would obliterate most of the Chinese economy instantly without a single shot fired. New Subs Need Biden To Boost Navy’s Broken Public Shipyards. You can't fight a war with someone who holds your resource production. They lost in Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan and pretty much every single military conflict they were involved in since 1945. Xi was definitely not the first to do so. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast, More posts from the geopolitics community. There is no scenario in which China fights the United States and wins. If we're talking about war that adheres to international laws, I'd say probably US, simply because its military expenditures and technologies would probably destroy the Chinese military considering it spends 3 times more than China does. It's called sesame credit created by Alibaba, but as much as people hype it up to be "black mirror like", it hasn't been implemented and no one knows when or even if it will be. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. They have alliances with Russia and India. In a broader sense, geopolitics studies the general relations between countries on a global scale. the US quote simply has the best military in the world. So how does this best military keep losing wars they start? They are indeed wealthy, but they have no allies and no one likes their government at all. The same news is on r/worldnews every once a while, for at least the last 2 years. A very good video i realy enjoyed that you talked about the economical side of things and also that you presented the real intrest of China in North Korea. Its not really a contest. r/AskReddit is the place to ask and answer thought-provoking questions. April 8, 2021 After convincing itself Vietnam would grant it access for missile bases against China, the Pentagon got a hard dose of reality. Remember China has interferred with the US elections and that now is an act of war. And unfortunately it seems the US has learned nothing From battling the VC and NVA in Vietnam. If it wants to avoid war and win the comprehensive confrontation with China, the US has to take different initiatives and deeply reform itself to match and surpass China’s achievements. One-child policy has been changed to a two-child one for a while now. Here we analyse local events in terms of the bigger, global picture. May make a video if I find enough interesting stuff to talk about. we also outrank every country with aircraft and boats. I have never heard of. They lost in Vietnam. If China thought they had a chance to win a war, it would already be happening. Recent Posts. The site may not work properly if you don't, If you do not update your browser, we suggest you visit, Press J to jump to the feed. Be my guest. This is a mutually destructive economy shift. The constitution has been modified many times. Submission Statement: countries decide to go to war for strategic reasons. all the south asian countries would team up with the us, (japan, south korea, taiwan, philippines, malaysia, vietname, prob thailand, indonesia) Nato, canada. Everyone outside of China, and many inside China, already know the government is corrupt. 2021-04-09T13:16:51Z The letter F. An envelope. any replies that are jokes, puns, off-topic, or are otherwise non-contributory will be removed. If you see others posting comments that violate this tag, please report them to the mods! Russia would but I didn't think India would. And someone is spreading the misinformation, very consistently. But China and the U.S. both have a lot to lose from war, so it would seem unlikely. The president title is mainly a figurehead, party leader is where most of the "real power lies". The Biden administration has been refreshingly, and somewhat surprisingly, direct and blunt about Russia and China. Every war since then has had the foes either bombed to pieces prior to the campaign, nowhere near the same tech level or where faced off against a coalition of forces including the US. But China and the U.S. both have a lot to lose from war, so it would seem unlikely. This isn't news. If you don't fall within the scope the question is directed to, please do not reply to the question as your comment will be removed. This is … I don't want to seem my videos too much here (I already post them quite a bit), but I appreciate anyone who posts them. One inaccuracy - Taiwan's claim and China's claim in the SCS are almost identical, not as much different as shown in the clip. I was thinking India will probably end up being the deciding nation if it picks a side. is that a reference to the Hukuo system? The western media already is exposing corruption where it can, be it in Russia, China or India. By then, China will have to send an ultimatum to Taiwan, demanding the Taiwanese to choose the resolution of peaceful unification (the most preferred epilogue for the Chinese) or war (an option forced to be so) by 2025. Just like China would lose all the US orders, so would the US and NATO lose almost everything they need. In other words, it would be alone. It is universally hostile and crudely corrupt. China has a decent arms development. This is the wrongest post in Reddit history. (of the other) A possibility is that a 3rd large power could reap the benefits of a weakened US or China such Russia. If the escalation leads to a war then two main cases would arise - 1.} ... All data are estimates for 2021. Which is why I think Trumps move to put trade tariffs on steel/aluminum is not a measure of short term economic gain, but purposely directed to bring back the underlying manufacturing to secure long term military capability should there ever be a war with China. The US doesn't have 'the best' military in the world. The United States might not have won its long cold war with China… not to mention nuke deterrents, high powered lasers, and railguns. An island that lies inside Taiwan's territory is seen on February 4, 2021 off the coast of Lieyu, an outlying island of Kinmen that is the closest point between Taiwan and China. Feedback is welcome. Does China have a huge motive to fight the US outside of just pushing us outside of Asia? And I'm sure those Chinese troops are super well trained and disciplined having not fought a war in 30 years. sure russia has more tanks, but its not as effective as aircraft. Gone. For the Chinese, they had successfully burned the Vietnamese capitol and returned home. Every country around it is at best wary about it, if not openly antagonistic. They have made some really interesting choices in places like Africa. r/ww3: Want to share your dank memes? Also you explained Xi's goals and ambitions and the political situation in China perfectly . Both are extremely influential in their own hemispheres and neither would likely be able to occupy such a large amount of territory. I replied one of those reddit posts two years ago, and the reply may needs some updates on details, but it still stands today. What Fun! Gone. If for some reason the US and China came to blows would it actually be very surprising if China won given their insane population and other advantages in the rough? Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Chilling World War III 'wargames' show US forces crushed by Russia and China. Yet each has powerful incentives to pretend that they do want war, which could create escalation. Thanks so much! Dont think youre giving the Chinese the credit they are due. With Beijing continuing to tighten an iron grip on Hong Kong, engaging in deadly skirmishes with India along their shared border and routinely bullying its smaller neighbors in the South China Sea, the Biden administration recently announced a new Pentagon task force to review U.S. defense policy toward China, to be headed by Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. What would the United States wish to achieve by fighting the Chinese? China is allied with Russia, it would just be cold war part 2. However, both countries do have nuclear weapons, so not adhering to international law (Non-proliferation), I'd say everyone loses. Setting up backup factories is very time consuming and expensive, meaning that while this is happening the US is missing essential import products. There's also no evidence that Germany was suffering from population pressure before it invaded its neighbors. Shut off the spigot of cheap plastic crap exported to Walmart, for the few months it would take to set up cheap plastic crap factories in any other low-wage country? The United States did not have an "overabundance of people" before World War 2. A place to discuss the subreddit that is /r/Sino Your premises are a bit dodgy. Geopolitics is focused on the relationship between politics and territory. Go ahead. War with NATO (you can't just be at war with US: It's the US + Canada + Europe) would obliterate most of the Chinese economy instantly without a single shot fired. Edit: After reading the posts in the thread, I would like to say it is impossible to guess which alliance will be honored and which will be broken. The relationship between the United States and China will be a central issue for Joe Biden's presidency, Alexander Görlach writes. I know the people here like to shit on Trump, to the point if the US or Trump is mentioned I have quit reading the comments because it is usually "durr hurr Trump is an idiot", which is quite the opposite of high level discussion - but I think it was pretty smart in terms of long term strategy to keep the balance of power with China. Attention! (E.g. Guerrilla warfare has really changed fighting. Drafting cleantech to fight China could help sell voters, but endangers his climate goals. China Sends More Jets; Taiwan Says It Will Fight to the End if There's War By Reuters , Wire Service Content April 7, 2021 By Reuters , Wire Service Content April 7, 2021, at 1:27 a.m. The communist Chinese have engaged in case after case of industrial espionage, they are building militarized islands in the South China Sea, the Chinese Navy and Air Force harass Taiwan and Japan, and China’s leader has made threatening remarks about Taiwan. Shut off the spigot of cheap plastic crap exported to Walmart, for the few months it would take to set up cheap plastic crap factories in any other low-wage country? Furthermore, its people are not as stupid as some may think, and would not just die for the criminals who lord over them in Beijing. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns. I replied one of those reddit posts two years ago, and the reply may needs some updates on details, but it still stands today. China-India are stable allies and NATO is shaky? Want to talk about your latest prepping endeavors? I'm not sure how people still talk about the 'inevitability' of war between nuclear powers in an academic setting when we have the entire history of the Cold War behind us. During the last two years, China's credit system did not turn into the disaster these people once predicted. 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